Winx Stakes day: feature races tips and previews

16 AUGUST 2023
Author

CAMERON ROSE

EDITOR

WINX STAKES - 1400m, Randwick R8

Group 1 racing returns on Saturday, in the form of the Winx Stakes over 1400m at Royal Randwick. It’s the first race at the elite level for the 2023/24 season, and it’s attracted a capacity field of high quality, each horse rated 102 or higher, bringing together a mix of proven veterans, unfulfilled potential, and a series of four-year-old’s looking to prove themselves as older horses.

The track is rated in the heavy as of Wednesday night, but there is fine weather forecast with the chance of rain on Friday. You’d be hoping we’re on the better side of soft.

Zaaki is the starting point, as the most proven warrior in the field with four Group 1 wins and an All Star Mile. He has resumed at 1400m three times in Australia for two wins and a second to Giga Kick, but do his nine-year-old legs still have the sharpness to beat a field like this? He certainly trialled well enough to suggest so.

Fangirl and Hinged, a pair of Chris Waller mares, haven’t won since March and February 2022 respectively.

Since then, Fangirl has run four WFA placings behind Anamoe, including second to him in this race last year, and was also second in the Golden Eagle. She’s a seriously talented mare that often finds herself too far back, but there is no Anamoe is this field now. Of the eight Waller runners, James McDonald is on her, also despite his long association with Zaaki.

While Fangirl prefers it drier, Hinged is the wet-tracker if the course comes up that way. She split Anamoe and Fangirl when resuming at 1400m last prep, and is capable of springing a surprise if ridden forward.

There are five four-year-old’s looking to make the step up, and all of them had an impact at the age of three last season. Communist won the Randwick Guineas and looks the forgotten horse here, remembering he was only a length of Anamoe and Fangirl in the George Ryder. Golden Mile won the Caulfield Guineas, and you have to forgive his first-up run after Big Parade devastatingly broke down and put him out of the race.

Osipenko was the run of the race in the Caulfield Guineas when third, won the Hobartville, and was extremely competitive against older horses in the George Ryder and Doncaster. He might be the best of his age here, but has an awfully wide barrier to contend with. Linderman won the Rosehill Guineas and has been trialling well, but might want it a touch further. Major Beel won the ATC Derby on a bog track, and we will see what his level is soon enough.

Montefilia will have eyes on her, first-up for Chris Waller after a very good career for David Payne. Princess Grace is an ex-USA mare having her second prep for Waller, and is also a watch. Mo’unga put together an excellent preparation in the autumn, and might finally have developed maturity and consistency. It’s great to see Think It Over resuming after 16 months off the scene due to injury.

The most interesting runner is King Colorado, if he gets in the field as first emergency. He is a Maher/Eustace three-year-old, and they are a camp that aren’t afraid to try a different method of attack. It is rare for a three-year-old to tackle older horses in August and September, rather than their own age, but the JJ Atkins winner may do exactly that with a little bit of residual fitness from Brisbane on his side.

Selections: 1.Fangirl 2.Osipenko 3.Hinged 4.Zaaki

Author
Cameron rose's Tip

FANGIRL

EACH-WAY

Winx Stks 19 August 15:45
13. Fangirl Playup
Win
Place

* Odds Correct At Time Of Posting. Check Playup Website For Latest Odds

SILVER SHADOW STAKES - 1200m, Randwick R9

The Silver Shadow gives us our first real look at what the three-year-old crop might look like this season, and how many have progressed from their juvenile days. This is a race purely for fillies, with nine of them first-up from last season.

The early market isn’t quite sure what to make of this race, understandably so, with no real stand out. Three fillies are vying for favouritism at around the each-way cut, Kristilli, Platinum Jubille and Estriella, with three or four others between $10-$13.

Tiz Invincible’s win in the Rosebud last week has set the tone here. Kristilli had her measure when they met in the Percy Sykes back in April, and has been installed favourite accordingly. Kimochi was third that day, and is also in the market – she had beaten Kristilli the start before.

Horses progress at different rates between two and three, and it’s always hard for them to carry weight penalties in these early spring races.

Estriella is the stablemate of Tiz Invincible, and there is always plenty of respect for the Maher/Eustace camp. She is the fit horse on the scene, having raced in June and July, which may be to her advantage.

It’s hard to resist value in these affairs, and Taormina looks a nice each-way play at double figure odds. She’ll jump and run for Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott, is unbeaten with some decent form behind her out of those wins, and looked forward in a recent trial when leaving Kimochi in her wake.

One at big odds that could surprise is August Bloom. She was very good in races like the Sweet Embrace and Magic Night last campaign, but has a shocking racing pattern. If she has learned the ability to put herself in a race, or gets the speed to suit, she can run a race.

Selections: 1.Taormina 2.Kimochi 3.Kristilli 4.August Bloom

Author
Cameron rose's Tip

TAORMINA

EACH-WAY

Darley Silver Shadow Stks 19 August 16:20
8. Taormina Playup
Win
Place

* Odds Correct At Time Of Posting. Check Playup Website For Latest Odds

SHOW COUNTY QUALITY - 1200m, Randwick R5

The sprinters get their chance to shine in the Show County Quality, and all eyes will be on two horses in particular, at either end of the weight scale, that may have greater ambitions in store.

Buenos Noches resumes after a three-year-old season that saw him nosed out by Giga Kick, run third in the Coolmore, and finish just over two lengths from the best sprinters in the land in the Lightning Stakes and Newmarket Handicap. He’s got 58.5kg’s, but the credentials to match, and it’s exciting to see him back.

Extremely Lucky is a five-year-old, but has only had seven starts. He ran within a length of Bella Nipotina last spring, after winning a Stakes race in Adelaide, and has since been transferred from Will Clarken to Chris Waller. We’ll see what the master can unlock, but he has looked sharp in his trials.

Kalino is another Waller runner, but one that has been around a while. It seems like this sort of race is about his level, and the aforementioned two horses should have more upside.

Dragonstone has been knocking on the door behind some good horses through the winter, and should make his presence felt. His second last start in the Missile Stakes behind I Am Me is enough to recommend him here at an each-way price.

Ucalledit is fit, hard and in-form with two Listed wins in a row, and looks a big price. He does have to go up a level now, but it’s hard to knock what he has been doing.

Selections: 1.Buenos Noches 2.Extremely Lucky 3.Dragonstone 4.Ucalledit

Author
Cameron rose's Tip

BUENOS NOCHES

WIN

Mostyncopper Show County Qlty 19 August 13:55
1. Buenos Noches Playup
Win
Place

* Odds Correct At Time Of Posting. Check Playup Website For Latest Odds

PREMIER'S CUP - 2000m, Randwick R6

The Premier’s Cup sees a field of mostly stayers lining up for a prize. A handful are first-up, and several aren’t showing much type of form.

The firm and understandable favourite is Fawkner Park. He had peeled off five wins in a row before just going down to Bold Mac last time out, yet still gets in on the minimum, and in this type of form looks more suited to 2000m than many of his rivals. A wide gate won’t make it easy for Dylan Gibbons, but he’s the one to beat.

Could Bois D’Argent be the danger at knock-out odds? He has an extremely handy first-up record, should still carry some fitness off a seven week let-up, and has been right around the mark in similar races to this, including a win in the Lord Mayors Cup.

Hosier will have supporters after chipping away in recent times, and has drawn kindly where the favourite hasn’t. He knuckled down for a good fighting win the last time he saw 2000m.

Mach Schnell is stepping up to 2000m for the first time after four runs at 1800m, but he has great form around the likes of Zoumon, Bold Mac and Fawkner Park himself. He’ll jump to the front from an inside gate, and be in the race for a long time. He’s over the odds for sure.

Selections: 1.Fawkner Park 2.Bois D’Argent 3.Mach Schnell 4.Hosier

Author
Cameron rose's Tip

FAWKNER PARK

WIN

James Squire Premier's Cup 19 August 14:30
14. Fawkner Park Playup
Win
Place

* Odds Correct At Time Of Posting. Check Playup Website For Latest Odds

TOY SHOW QUALITY - 1100m, Randwick R7

The Toy Show Quality is a sprint race over 1100m for the mares, and has drawn a strong field of up-and-coming types that we’re about to learn a lot more about.

There are five four-year-old’s resuming, most of which had Group 1 form as three-year-old fillies, and all of which carry expectations of making it as older horses this spring.

Parisal, Zougotacha and Queen of the Ball are the three vying for favouritism.

Zougotacha has the top weight thanks to her Flight Stakes win last October, which she complemented with a couple of Group 2 wins as well. It will be a tough ask to give this field weight and beat them all, but may well be a star if she can.

Parisel and Queen of the Ball get 5.5kg’s off Zougotcha. Both have been trialling like they are primed to win first-up in order to get their ratings to climb. Parisel was more consistent than Queen of the Ball, from what we saw last season.

Cinderella Days could be the one to beat, and is the clear value regardless. First-up last campaign, she was half a length behind In Secret in the Light Fingers, and after that was only a length behind Ruthless Dame in the Surround. Both of those fillies subsequently went on to win Group 1 races against older horses of course.

Of the older horses, Mileva has been in rock-solid form, and is a good honest goer in this grade, while Petulant can’t be the worst 70-1 shot of the weekend. You can’t knock a mare in form, and she’s won three of her last four to deserve a crack at some black-type.

Selections: 1.Cinderella Days 2.Mileva 3.Parisel 4.Petulant

Author
Cameron rose's Tip

CINDERELLA DAYS

EACH-WAY

Laurel Oak Toy Show Qlty 19 August 15:05
5. Cinderella Days Playup
Win
Place

* Odds Correct At Time Of Posting. Check Playup Website For Latest Odds

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